Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2508.951625 2717.344534 2928.609405 3158.518538 3401.359013 3649.929060 3923.289017
2025-01-26 2235.788461 2552.377430 2885.307853 3260.337730 3669.835405 4102.226407 4592.117017
2025-02-02 2049.191436 2432.604364 2846.789936 3325.038658 3859.558662 4436.162163 5102.719917
2025-02-09 1868.492783 2295.289713 2767.204308 3323.716512 3957.977427 4654.358779 5472.675332
2025-02-16 1706.902971 2163.664032 2679.522905 3299.450472 4018.281461 4819.757141 5774.961640
2025-02-23 1604.535525 2091.219711 2651.192884 3335.229554 4140.192358 5049.467439 6146.043539
2025-03-02 1494.079656 2000.736080 2594.275868 3330.735880 4209.563915 5214.447623 6439.698277
2025-03-09 1424.261899 1954.132537 2584.893152 3378.375555 4336.826411 5444.345512 6807.493566
2025-03-16 1323.902842 1863.517609 2516.738304 3350.256470 4369.686850 5560.335436 7039.768115
2025-03-23 1280.613636 1841.658649 2530.369477 3419.545251 4518.170121 5812.486613 7433.063658
2025-03-30 1216.640107 1789.482372 2502.990573 3435.418240 4599.561678 5983.222493 7729.106957
2025-04-06 1151.343532 1731.993448 2465.772137 3436.204701 4660.200238 6127.500813 7992.767344
2025-04-13 1045.963655 1617.381998 2352.301880 3338.287011 4597.077060 6121.430841 8076.261332
2025-04-20 1032.289801 1625.849805 2398.204173 3444.228163 4790.273029 6431.003102 8546.968814
2025-04-27 1004.480814 1613.138923 2414.929504 3511.571891 4934.389877 6680.473798 8945.397245
2025-05-04 952.204796 1563.660459 2380.486904 3510.195886 4989.476579 6818.597409 9206.539297
2025-05-11 894.713978 1503.931739 2329.697634 3484.940359 5011.970020 6914.663466 9414.861160
2025-05-18 863.422680 1480.271910 2326.679470 3522.177704 5114.792735 7111.774569 9749.894887
2025-05-25 819.623743 1436.190288 2293.670304 3517.501113 5161.692237 7237.415492 9995.280083
2025-06-01 796.639085 1421.823786 2301.146493 3567.076579 5279.738020 7454.022657 10356.389202
2025-06-08 749.543403 1368.896608 2252.315841 3537.815808 5291.895783 7533.997240 10543.950606
2025-06-15 736.939848 1368.019789 2277.112689 3609.913191 5439.397468 7788.953501 10955.559143
2025-06-22 708.105935 1340.599092 2262.598076 3626.427401 5511.756829 7946.561023 11243.227897